Below zero
S&P 500 2,823.16 · −51.40 · −1.79%
The floor everyone assumed was load-bearing — a price stops at nothing — turned out to be a rumor. For one afternoon, less than nothing was the market price of the world's most traded commodity.
The day's protagonist
The May oil contract — no symbol.
Move: $18.27 → −$37.63 — sellers paid to be rid of it
Pandemic lockdowns had erased roughly a third of world oil demand in a month, and the tankers and tank farms had quietly filled. The May WTI futures contract required physical delivery at Cushing, Oklahoma — where storage was effectively spoken for — and it expired the next day. Anyone still long on April 20 faced a choice: find storage that did not exist, or pay someone to take the obligation away. By the settlement, the price of a barrel of American crude was negative $37.63 — the first negative price in the contract's 37 years of trading, with a session low of −$40.32. It was not the value of oil; it was the rent on a full tank, priced in public for one afternoon.
The deeper account
Lockdowns had erased roughly a third of world oil demand; floating and onshore storage filled through March and April.
The May contract's physical-delivery obligation at a full Cushing, one day before expiry, forced longs to pay their way out — the fall passed through zero without slowing, to a session low of −$40.32.
The June contract settled at $20.43 the same afternoon — fifty-eight dollars above May. The spread was the price of a tank.
The equity market barely blinked (−1.79%), then fell 3.07% the next day. The May contract expired at $10.01 — positive again, as if nothing had happened.
The CFTC's interim staff report on the episode became the reference document for how a benchmark price can break.
Third pigment day in the book's history: crude by lamplight. The palette survives the entrance translation whole; The Sun Below — the book's first daylight scene print — retires to the archive's art, per precedent.
The artifact
The ledger records the one afternoon the floor turned out to be a rumor. The price fell through free without slowing, and settled where the seller pays: the bills go on the crate. The line that explains it is the storage line — and the line that forgives it is tomorrow's: the same peaches, one month of shed away, still worth twenty dollars. The fine print already knows the next morning's price.
Read the ledger
Printed text is shown plain; handwritten entries are shown in script.
PRODUCE STALL · LAST HOUR · STALL LEDGER · CLOSING
- MORNING PRICE: 18.27 the crate — AFTERNOON: free. then less than free.
- SETTLED: −37.63 — the bills go ON the crate.
- STORAGE: truck full. stand full. cellar spoken for.
- TOMORROW'S CRATES (JUNE): 20.43 — same peaches, one month of shed away.
- BELOW ZERO NEXT MORNING: 10.01, AS IF NOTHING HAD HAPPENED · IT WAS NEVER THE PEACHES. IT WAS THE RENT ON A FULL SHED.
The May WTI contract settled at −$37.63 — the first negative settlement in its 37 years, with a session low of −$40.32 — while the June contract settled at $20.43 the same afternoon: the spread was the price of a tank. The equity market treated it as a curiosity, fell 1.79 percent, then 3.07 the next day, and the May contract expired at $10.01.
The ledger — what actually happened
| Measure | Close | Change | Marginalia |
|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | 2,823.16 | −51.40 · −1.79% | the stock market treated it as a curiosity — then fell 3.07% the next day |
| WTI May contract | −$37.63 | the first negative settlement in the contract's 37 years | |
| Session low | −$40.32 | mid-afternoon, the day before the contract expired | |
| WTI June contract | $20.43 | same oil, one month of storage apart — the calendar was worth more than the commodity | |
| Cushing, Oklahoma | effectively full | the delivery point had no room for the oil the contract would deliver | |
| The expiry | $10.01 | the May contract's final settlement the next day — positive again, as if nothing had happened |
Sources
- Robinhood market-data feed (SPX day bars 2020-04-17 → 04-21), pulled 2026-08-08
- CFTC — Interim Staff Report on NYMEX WTI Crude Contract Trading on and around April 20, 2020 — https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/8315-20
- EIA — Crude oil prices briefly traded below $0 in spring 2020 — https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=46336
- CRS — Crude Oil Futures Prices Turn Negative — https://www.congress.gov/crs_external_products/IN/PDF/IN11354/IN11354.1.pdf
- CNBC — How negative oil prices revealed the dangers of the futures market — https://www.cnbc.com/2020/06/16/how-negative-oil-prices-revealed-the-dangers-of-futures-trading.html
- ScienceDirect — Arbitrage breakdown in WTI crude oil futures: an analysis of April 20, 2020 — https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S030142072200054X