Monday, August 13th, 1979

A 35mm Kodachrome street photograph, August 1979: a crowded wooden sidewalk newsstand in warm faded morning light — a vendor on a stool reading a paper, a man in a striped shirt and a woman in a long print dress browsing the racks, every magazine cover and headline reduced to illegible marks. Past them, small in the middle distance, a man in a grey suit half a size too big walks away down the long littered sidewalk with his back to the camera, head slightly bowed, lavender hair combed flat, a small brown paper bag carried at his side. Nobody looks up. Taken the day BusinessWeek's 'Death of Equities' cover reached the newsstand — the one photograph in this series where he is leaving.

The obituary

S&P 500 107.42 · +1.02 · +0.96%

The magazine on the newsstand that Monday declared equities dead, and the market rose about one percent reading it. The crowd kept falling anyway — seven million had already left, and more followed. The emptiest seat in this book.

The photograph Retail, Leaving

The day's protagonist

The cover — no symbol.

Move: seven million defectors, one headline

BusinessWeek's issue dated August 13, 1979 said it plainly: 'The Death of Equities: How Inflation Is Destroying the Stock Market.' Its facts were true. At least seven million shareholders had left the market since 1970; among investors under sixty-five the count had fallen by a quarter, while investors over sixty-five had grown by thirty percent — which the cover explained with its most famous sentence: only the elderly, who had not understood the changes in the nation's financial markets or could not adjust to them, were sticking with stocks. The magazine called the condition near-permanent. The market rose 0.96 percent that day, was lower three years later — and then, from a floor reached four sessions before a page this book already keeps, returned roughly fourteenfold by the peak of 2000. The only ones still seated were the ones the cover had pitied. The crowd's capitulation was the bottom of a generation, and nobody in the crowd was there to see it.

The deeper account

The cover's facts were real and its timing was perfect, in the way only capitulation can be: the crowd's exit marked the bottom of a generation. It became the canonical case of the magazine-cover indicator — despair loud enough to print is usually despair already spent.

The photograph of this day is the one where he leaves. He put something down at the newsstand and walked, head bowed, the bag at his side instead of held before him — the only frame in the series with his back turned not to watch something, but to go.

The answer to this page already hangs in this book: 1982-08-17, four sessions after the low, the day the great bull began. The two pages should be read together, thirty-seven months apart.

Through the crowd's eyes this is the darkest page in the archive — not a crash, not a halt, just the day it stopped believing. The seat stayed empty for three years, and the ones who filled it again paid more for less than the ones who never left.

The artifact

MONDAY, AUGUST 13, 1979 · THE NEWSSTAND EQUITIES declared dead on the newsstand this morning, of inflation, after a long decline. departed: at least seven million holders since 1970. survived by: the elderly, who — the notice said — had not understood the changes, or could not adjust to them. the deceased rose 0.96 percent the day this ran. PREMATURE right for exactly three years, to the week. then fourteenfold. THE ONES WHO STAYED WERE THE ONES THE NOTICE PITIED
The obituary — clipped the day it ran; annotated much later, in pencil

The magazine's facts were true — seven million holders gone since 1970, the under-65 count down a quarter, the condition called near-permanent — and its timing was perfect in the way only capitulation can be. The market rose about one percent reading its own obituary, was lower three years later to the week, and then returned roughly fourteenfold by 2000. The pencil annotation is the whole magazine-cover indicator in nine words. This is the emptiest seat in the book: the day the crowd stopped believing.

Read the obituary

Printed text is shown plain; the later pencil note is shown in script.

MONDAY, AUGUST 13, 1979 · THE NEWSSTAND · EQUITIES

  • declared dead on the newsstand this morning, of inflation, after a long decline.
  • departed: at least seven million holders since 1970.
  • survived by: the elderly, who — the notice said — had not understood the changes, or could not adjust to them.
  • the deceased rose 0.96 percent the day this ran. · PREMATURE
  • PENCIL, LATER: right for exactly three years, to the week. then fourteenfold.
  • THE ONES WHO STAYED WERE THE ONES THE NOTICE PITIED

BusinessWeek's issue dated August 13, 1979 — "The Death of Equities: How Inflation Is Destroying the Stock Market" — reported that at least seven million shareholders had left the market since 1970 and called the condition near-permanent. The S&P 500 rose 0.96 percent to 107.42 that Monday, stood lower in August 1982 — and then, from a low four sessions before this book's 1982-08-17 page, returned roughly fourteenfold by the 2000 peak.

The ledger — what actually happened

Measure Close Change Marginalia
S&P 500 107.42 +1.02 · +0.96% the market rose the day its obituary ran
The cover aug 13, 1979 'The Death of Equities: How Inflation Is Destroying the Stock Market' — a near-permanent condition, it said
The defectors ≈ 7,000,000 shareholders gone since 1970; under-65 investors down a quarter, over-65 up thirty percent — 'only the elderly... are sticking with stocks'
Three years on 102.42 August 12, 1982 — the cover was right for exactly three years, to the week
Then ≈ 14x the low fell four sessions before this book's 1982-08-17 page; by the 2000 peak the index had returned fourteenfold. The elderly were right.

Sources

  1. S&P 500 daily closes, public historical record (Aug 1979; Aug 1982), retrieved 2026-08-16
  2. Bloomberg — It's Been 40 Years Since Our Cover Story Declared 'The Death of Equities' — https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-08-13/it-s-been-40-years-since-our-cover-story-declared-the-death-of-equities
  3. The Big Picture — BusinessWeek: The Death of Equities (cover text) — https://ritholtz.com/1979/08/the-death-of-equities/
  4. Fiend's Bear — Business Week's 'The Death of Equities' Revisited — https://www.fiendbear.com/deatheq.htm
  5. Oaktree Capital, Howard Marks — Déjà Vu All Over Again (the defector and age-group figures) — https://www.oaktreecapital.com/docs/default-source/memos/2012-03-19-d%C3%A9j%C3%A0-vu-all-over-again.pdf
  6. Wikipedia — Magazine cover indicator — https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Magazine_cover_indicator