Friday, March 10th, 2023

A photograph of the cloakroom of an old municipal hall at the end of an evening, everything washed in warm mustard tungsten light — varnished wood, yellowed plaster, brass fittings. At the counter one overwhelmed clerk in a cardigan retrieves coats as fast as she can move, claim tickets scattered in front of her. Behind her the long numbered coat rail is almost completely empty — dozens of bare wooden hangers, a few coats left at the far end. A dense, quiet, orderly line presses toward the counter and runs out of the frame, phones in hand, the people at the front already walking away with coats over their arms. The line is far longer than what remains on the rail. At the back of the line, a step apart, seen from behind, stands a man in full clown makeup and a grey suit a half size too big — tidy lavender side-parted hair — perfectly still, facing the bare rail, his hands clasped behind his back holding a small brown paper bag. Nobody is shouting. Nobody is looking at him.

The promise not to look

S&P 500 3,861.59 · −56.73 · −1.45%

A bank of two hundred billion dollars failed before lunch, faster than any bank in American history, and the index gave up one and a half percent.

The photograph Retail at the Coat Check

The day's protagonist

Held to maturity SIVB

Move: $42 billion out in a day — the fastest bank run in American history

Silicon Valley Bank had taken in enormous deposits during the technology boom and put them into long-dated bonds bought when money cost nothing. Then rates rose and the bonds fell, and the loss stayed invisible because of an accounting category called held to maturity — which is, in plain terms, a promise never to sell and therefore never to look. On Wednesday the bank looked: it sold a portion, booked a $1.8 billion loss, and asked the market for capital. Its depositors were venture funds and startups, one dense network reading the same group chats, and on Thursday they moved forty-two billion dollars out in a single day. By Friday morning another hundred billion was queued. Regulators closed the bank before lunch — two hundred and nine billion in assets, the second-largest failure in American history. The S&P fell one and a half percent.

The deeper account

The run's speed is the page's real subject: 1930s depositors queued in the street; 2023 depositors moved forty-two billion dollars by phone in an afternoon, in a coordinated panic conducted over group chats.

The Bear Stearns page in the third wing is this day's ancestor — a wholesale run by fax and phone. Fifteen years of technology cut the duration from a week to a day.

The instrument that killed the bank was the safest one it owned. Treasuries do not default; they only fall in price, and a bank that must sell has no use for the difference.

On Sunday the Treasury, Fed and FDIC guaranteed all deposits at SVB and Signature and opened a lending facility valuing bonds at par — the accounting fiction made official, and it worked.

First Republic failed in May, larger than either. The index made a new high for the year within weeks of that, too.

The artifact

MUNICIPAL HALL · CLOAK ROOM CLAIM TICKET Nº 209 DEPOSITED everything, during the good years RETURNABLE on demand — it says so here HELD to maturity. do not look. NOTES 42 taken back thursday. rail bare by friday lunch. the line was longer than the rail. RAIL EMPTY SUNDAY: THE TOWN GUARANTEED EVERY COAT IN EVERY CLOAKROOM TICKETS ACCEPTED AT PAR
Claim ticket Nº 209 — found near the front of the line

The ticket's three printed promises are the whole mechanism: deposited in the good years, returnable on demand, held to maturity — do not look. On Wednesday the cloakroom looked; on Thursday the line moved forty-two billion through the counter by phone; before Friday's lunch the rail was bare and the hall was closed — two hundred and nine billion, the second-largest failure in American history. The fine print arrived two days later, and it worked.

Read the ticket

Printed text is shown plain; handwritten entries are shown in script.

MUNICIPAL HALL · CLOAK ROOM · CLAIM TICKET · Nº 209

  • DEPOSITED: everything, during the good years
  • RETURNABLE: on demand — it says so here
  • HELD: to maturity. do not look.
  • NOTES: 42 taken back thursday. rail bare by friday lunch. the line was longer than the rail.
  • RAIL EMPTY  SUNDAY: THE TOWN GUARANTEED EVERY COAT IN EVERY CLOAKROOM · TICKETS ACCEPTED AT PAR

Regulators closed Silicon Valley Bank before Friday's lunch — $209 billion in assets, the second-largest failure in American history, after $42 billion left in a single day and $100 billion more queued. The index gave up 1.45 percent: an ordinary bad Friday, on an extraordinary day. Signature Bank followed Sunday, and the backstop arrived the same evening, valuing the bonds at par.

The ledger — what actually happened

Measure Close Change Marginalia
S&P 500 3,861.59 −56.73 · −1.45% an ordinary bad Friday, on an extraordinary day
Silicon Valley Bank $209 billion assets at the end of 2022 — the second-largest bank failure in American history
The run $42 billion in a day withdrawn Thursday; roughly $100 billion more was queued for Friday morning
The trigger $1.8 billion the loss booked on selling bonds it had promised itself it would hold
Two days later Signature Bank $110 billion, closed Sunday, March 12 — and the emergency backstop arrived the same evening

Sources

  1. FDIC press release — FDIC Acts to Protect All Depositors of the former Silicon Valley Bank — https://www.fdic.gov/news/press-releases/2023/pr23019.html
  2. CNBC — Silicon Valley Bank is shut down by regulators in biggest bank failure since the financial crisis — https://www.cnbc.com/2023/03/10/silicon-valley-bank-is-shut-down-by-regulators-fdic-to-protect-insured-deposits.html
  3. Federal Reserve OIG — Material Loss Review of Silicon Valley Bank — https://oig.federalreserve.gov/reports/board-material-loss-review-silicon-valley-bank-sep2023.pdf
  4. Robinhood market-data feed — SPX day bar; SIVB inactive (delisted), bank figures from the FDIC